Three weeks after the joint US-Israeli war against Iran began, the conflict has reached a fuzzy state of mixed messages and uncertainty, with Donald Trump's public comments often seemingly contradicted by realities on the ground. The war is very complete, pretty much, Trump has said, but new American ground forces – including a Marine expeditionary unit - are moving into the region. It is winding down, but US and Israeli bombing and missile strikes on Iranian targets continue unabated.

Opening the Strait of Hormuz, the geographic choke point through which 20% of the world's oil export travels, is a simple military manoeuvre, but for now, only Iranian-approved ships are transiting the waters. The Iranian military is gone, but drones and missiles are still striking targets in the region, extending to the joint US-UK base on Diego Garcia.

In a Friday evening Truth Social post while flying from Washington to his Florida resort, Trump listed American military objectives, including degrading Iran's military and nuclear capabilities. Significantly missing was a call for regime change, which Trump had previously insisted upon.

Uncertainty looms over the potential resolution of the conflict, as Trump's latest stance hints at leaving Iran's current leadership intact while seeking to capture key strategic locations like Kharg Island.

As the US prepares to request $200 billion in emergency funding for the operation, Congress remains cautious about a prolonged military engagement. With military analysts suggesting a potentially extended presence, the situation reflects the complexities of modern warfare and the delicate balance of international relations.