HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — Utilities are projecting a staggering increase in electricity demand, estimating they will need two to three times more power in the coming years to support new data centers feeding the rapidly growing AI economy. However, this surge in demand has sparked worries among lawmakers, policymakers, and regulators over the trustworthiness of these forecasts.

The crux of the issue lies in whether these forecasts are based on actual projects or speculative ventures that may never come to fruition. This uncertainty raises alarm bells, as it could lead to everyday consumers footing the bill for potentially unnecessary power plants and grid enhancements, which could cost billions.

With the rise in data center projects, particularly in the mid-Atlantic electricity grid that spans several states, consumer advocates are concerned that ratepayers are already subsidizing the energy demands of both operational and non-operational facilities.

“There’s speculation in there,” said Joe Bowring of Monitoring Analytics, highlighting the challenge in distinguishing between real demand and inflated projections. The lack of a consistent vetting process across different electricity grids exacerbates these concerns.

Growing Demand Awaits Clarity

The forecasts have come under scrutiny as various developers seek grid connections, often without financial backing or certainty of completion. This means a single project could artificially inflate multiple utilities' energy forecasts.

In a recent move, a Federal Energy Regulatory Commission member requested clarification from grid operators on how they ensure projects are viable and accurately forecast their electricity use.

Following these developments, states are increasingly focusing on improving the clarity and accuracy of utility forecasts. For instance, Texas is mandating data center developers to disclose any other electricity requests they have made, aiming to mitigate the risks of speculative demands.

Ratepayer Concerns Mount

PPL Electric Utilities, serving millions in Pennsylvania, posits that data centers could triple electricity demand by 2030. CEO Vincent Sorgi assures analysts that many projects are legitimate and urgent. However, concerns persist, particularly for consumers already facing rising bills attributed to these developments.

With lawmakers like Rep. Danilo Burgos pushing for more regulatory oversight, there's a sense of urgency to protect consumers and ensure they benefit from the increased energy costs associated with these data center new demands.