Recent high-profile aviation incidents have sparked discussions about whether air travel accidents are becoming more frequent. Videos showcasing narrow escapes and mishaps have exploded on social media platforms, leading many users to voice their fears. In response, U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy assured the public, during an interview with CBS News, that this uptick in significant air incidents in America is "very unique."

One severe incident that caught public attention was a mid-air collision in January, involving a commercial flight and a military helicopter in Washington D.C., which tragically resulted in 67 fatalities. Footage surfacing online of a plane overturning on landing due to adverse weather in Toronto, Canada, further fueled public concern about aviation safety.

However, analyses conducted by BBC Verify, examining both U.S. and global aviation data from the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) and the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), refute claims that air incidents are increasing. In fact, the stats from NTSB demonstrate a consistent decline in air accidents from 2005 to early 2024, despite a surge in flight numbers during that period. January 2025 witnessed 52 accidents, a decrease from 58 the previous year.

Globally, ICAO data reveals a downward trend in accidents per million plane departures from 2005 to 2023, indicating an overall improvement in aviation safety. The reduction in the fatalities associated with air accidents over the same period, despite a few years where spikes occurred due to major disasters like the Malaysian Airlines tragedies in 2014, suggests a longer-term positive trajectory in aviation safety.

Experts warn against drawing conclusions from recent spates of accidents. Ismo Aaltonen, Finland's former chief air disaster investigator, asserts that these varied incidents do not reflect a decline in aviation safety, noting that they stem from distinct circumstances. The overarching message from studies is that air travel remains the safest mode of transportation; in the U.S., over 95% of transportation fatalities in 2022 were road-related, with air travel fatalities accounting for less than 1%.

Despite increased visibility of air incidents driven by social media, expert opinions emphasize that modern aviation is rigorously scrutinized and that regulatory penalties are applied to enhance safety standards. Pilot training is heavily enriched by data from investigations into accidents, and technological advancements continue to improve flight safety. In conclusion, while current headlines may amplify concerns, a historical overview reaffirms that air travel remains an exceptionally safe means of transportation.