Overall, there has been little movement in polling data since the last wave. Notably, Harris has made gains among young, Black, and Hispanic voters, while Trump continues to connect with his traditional demographic—white voters without degrees. The polling also exposes a significant gender divide; men in battleground states favor Trump by 16 percentage points, while women support Harris by the same margin. For the first time, abortion has emerged as the top voter concern among women.
In addressing a reader's question on why Pennsylvania remains a swing state, national reporter Campbell Robertson noted its complex demographic landscape. The state is home to major Democratic strongholds in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, surrounded by progressive suburbs, but also encompasses a large rural population that has trended Republican in recent years. The decline of manufacturing industries has shifted parts of the electorate toward conservative views, despite demographic shifts that favor more diverse and educated voters. Currently, a majority of the population consists of white individuals without college degrees—Trump's most reliable voting block.
In addressing a reader's question on why Pennsylvania remains a swing state, national reporter Campbell Robertson noted its complex demographic landscape. The state is home to major Democratic strongholds in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, surrounded by progressive suburbs, but also encompasses a large rural population that has trended Republican in recent years. The decline of manufacturing industries has shifted parts of the electorate toward conservative views, despite demographic shifts that favor more diverse and educated voters. Currently, a majority of the population consists of white individuals without college degrees—Trump's most reliable voting block.
