Nigeria's political scene is witnessing a dramatic transformation as key opposition leaders, Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi, have officially aligned themselves with the African Democratic Congress (ADC). This change comes after their departure from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Labour Party (LP), marking one of the most significant political realignments since the end of military rule in 1999.
The alliance aims to present a strong front against the ruling party led by President Bola Tinubu in the 2027 elections, particularly after Tinubu secured victory in 2023 with only 37% of the votes split between both contenders — Abubakar at 29% and Obi at 25%. The ADC's formation followed extensive discussions between the leaders, reflecting their resolve to unite opposition votes and avoid previous mistakes.
At the ADC launch, interim chairman David Mark emphasized the coalition's goal to protect Nigeria's democracy and prevent the emergence of a one-party state amid ongoing crises within the PDP and LP. Analysts suggest that the joint ticket may significantly increase their chances, as both leaders acknowledge they came "so close" in the previous election.
While the ADC features notable figures like 78-year-old Abubakar and 63-year-old Obi, who may partner for the presidential race, it also includes exits from Tinubu's All Progressives Congress (APC), such as former Senate President David Mark and turned foe Nasir El-Rufai.
Political analysts express mixed feelings about the coalition's potential effectiveness against Tinubu. While some believe their collaboration enhances their chances, others stress that incumbents rarely lose reelection bids in Nigeria's political landscape.
Despite this significant shift, the ruling APC appears unfazed, with acting chairman Ali Bukar Dalori dismissing the coalition's impact, while both the PDP and LP maintain their independence from joining forces with the ADC. With the political climate rapidly evolving, the next few years will be crucial for Nigeria's electoral dynamics.
