Fifty-five heat waves over the past quarter-century would not have happened without human-caused climate change, according to a study published Wednesday.
Planet-warming emissions from 180 major cement, oil and gas producers contributed significantly to all of the heat events considered in the study, published in the journal Nature. The research examined 213 heat waves globally from 2000 to 2023. The examined polluters included both publicly traded and state-owned companies, along with several countries for which fossil fuel production statistics were available.
Collectively, these producers are responsible for 57% of all carbon dioxide emissions from 1850 to 2023.
It just shows that it’s not that many actors ... who are responsible for a very strong fraction of all emissions, said Sonia Seneviratne, a climate professor at ETH Zurich and a contributor to the study.
The EM-DAT International Disaster Database was used to compile the set of heat waves analyzed in this study, highlighting the most widely utilized global disaster repository. The Nature study focused on all heat waves in the database from 2000 to 2023, excluding a few that weren’t suitable for analysis.
Global warming rendered all 213 examined heat waves more likely, with 55 being found to be 10,000 times more probable due to industrialization that began accelerating in the 1800s—practically declaring these heat events virtually impossible without human-caused climate change.
Numerous consequential heat waves have resulted in significant problems, including the 2022 European heat wave that was linked to tens of thousands of deaths.
This study not only informs future climate action strategies but also underlines the accountability of the fossil fuel industry in climate-related legal cases. Legislative measures are already underway in states like Vermont and New York to hold fossil fuel companies responsible for their emissions and the resulting catastrophe.